SWOV Catalogus


From behavioural adaptation to safety modelling : predicting the safety impacts of new technologies
C 24390 (In: C 24380 [electronic version only]) /83 /91 / ITRD E116035
Carsten, O.M.J.
In: Behavioural research in road safety XI : proceedings of the 11th seminar on behavioural research in road safety, 2002, p. 95-102, 22 ref. / pdf-version: p. 124-134

Samenvatting This paper addresses how information on driver behaviour in the presence of adaptive cruise control can be used to predict the safety impact of this technology. Behavioural adaptation occurs when drivers assume competence on the part of an intelligent system and fail to take responsibility when this becomes necessary. In the development of a new system, engineering models deduce the predicted changes in behaviour from an original functional definition of the system. It is then possible to apply a macro modelling approach which estimates changes in the distribution of speed. Microsimulation models are also available which create a picture of vehicle operation. Microsimulation of traffic networks has been employed: the greatest advantage of developing full network predictions of safety would be that such a model would take into account varied responses to a system. For the covering abstract see ITRD E116025.
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